Jinggoy, Mar, Pia top Senate poll , Gov. Ace Barbers got 11.5%

Pulse Asia released yesterday the results of the firm’s recent survey on senatorial candidates that showed Senate President Pro Tempore Jose “Jinggoy” Estrada as the top favorite to win if the elections were held today.

Estrada got 50.2 percent of votes, which translates to a statistical ranking of 1st to 5th places in Pulse Asia’s August 2009 Ulat ng Bayan survey, which also showed that 14 out of 71 aspirants have a statistical chance of winning Senate seats.

The non-commissioned survey was conducted from July 28 to Aug. 10 and used face-to-face interviews of 1,800 respondents 18 years old and above.

The survey sample of 1,800 is greater than the usual 1,200 respondents used by Pulse Asia in its previous polls. The survey with more respondents has a lower margin of error, it explained.

Sharing statistical rankings of 1st to 6th places among the Senate bets were Senators Manuel Roxas II (48.3 percent), Pia Cayetano (46.6 percent), Ramon Revilla Jr. (46.4 percent), and former Senate president Franklin Drilon (46.3 percent).

Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago (45.2 percent) was ranked from 2nd to 6th places.

Other probable winners include Sen. Jamby Madrigal (38.9 percent), former National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) director-general Ralph Recto (37.6 percent), and Makati City Mayor Binay (37.5 percent), who placed between 7th to 11th places.

Pulse Asia said the aspirants that were ranked from 1st to 11th are sure to take the 1 to 9 slots for the 12 Senate seats that would be contested in the 2010 polls.

Those within the statistical ranking from 13th to 24th are expected to contest the 10th to 12th Senate slots.

Lawyer Aquilino Pimentel III currently ranks 7th to 13th, with an overall voter preference of 36.1 percent, while former Optical Media Board (OMB) chairperson Edu Manzano (34.9 percent) is in 7th to 14th places.

Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile and former senator Sergio Osmeña III record the same overall voter preference (32.1 percent) for a statistical ranking of 10th to 14th places.

Completing the list of probable winners is Dangerous Drugs Board (DDB) chairman Vicente Sotto III who enjoys the support of 30.8 percent of Filipinos for a statistical ranking of 11th to 15th places.

The survey also showed that the level of public interest in the senatorial race remains high, with Filipinos naming a mean of 10 and a median of 12 (out of a maximum of 12) of their preferred senatorial bets. At the national level and in all geographic areas and socio-economic groupings, majorities (51 percent to 63 percent) already have a complete senatorial list.

“Presently, seven re-electionists and four former senators are among the probable winners in the senatorial race,” Pulse Asia said.

Less than one in 10 Filipinos (three percent) is not inclined to vote for any of the personalities included in the senatorial probe, Pulse Asia said.

Among the probable winners, Manzano enjoys the biggest improvement in overall voter preference between May and August 2009 (+13.5 percentage points).

Drilon (+7.6 percentage points), Enrile (+7.0 percentage points), and Binay (+7.0 percentage points) also register notable gains in electoral support during this period.

On the other hand, marginal improvements may be noted in the overall voter preferences of Revilla (+5.0 percentage points), Estrada (+4.2 percentage points), and Pimentel (+4.2 percentage points).

Pulse Asia said considerable gains were made by broadcaster Ted Failon (+7.0 percentage points) and Tourism Secretary Joseph Ace Durano (+6.5 percentage points). The duo was among the group that landed outside the winners’ circle.

Other personalities included in the survey were: Sen. Richard Gordon (26.1 percent); former Sen. Juan Flavier (22.1 percent); Bukidnon Rep. Teofisto Guingona III (20.5 percent); Durano (18.6 percent); Jose de Venecia III (17.6 percent); Sen. Manuel Lapid (17.3 percent); former Surigao del Sur Rep. Prospero Pichay (16.2); book author Alex Lacson (15.9 percent); Muntinlupa Rep. Rozzano Biazon (15.5 percent); Surigao del Norte Gov. Robert Ace Barbers (11.5 percent);

National broadband network-ZTE contract scam whistleblower Rodolfo “Jun” Lozada (10.7 percent); former Presidential Management Staff chief Michael Defensor (10.3 percent); Grace Poe (9.6 percent); Interior Secretary Ronaldo Puno (9.6 percent); Nacionalista Party spokesman Gilbert Remulla (8.2 percent); Pampanga Rep. Juan Miguel Arroyo (7.5 percent); Quezon City Mayor Feliciano Belmonte (6.7 percent); Health Secretary Francisco Duque III (6.6 percent); detained Army Brig. General Danilo Lim (6.1 percent); Parañaque Rep. Roilo Golez (5.6 percent);

Former executive secretary Oscar Orbos (5.6 percent); Isabela Gov. Grace Padaca (5.3 percent); professor Randy David (4.8 percent); Bayan Muna Rep. Satur Ocampo (4.8 percent); Agriculture Secretary Arthur Yap (4.7 percent); Gabriela Rep. Liza Maza (4.5 percent); NP spokesman Adel Tamano (4.5 percent); Quezon Rep. Lorenzo Tañada III (4.3 percent); Anakbayan Rep. Risa Hontiveros (4.1 percent); Manila Hotel president Jose Lina (3.9 percent); economist Benjamin Diokno (3.7 percent); Education Secretary Jesli Lapus (3.7 percent); San Juan Rep. Ronaldo Zamora (3.7 percent); Energy Secretary Angelo Reyes (3.4 percent); former social welfare secretary Dinky Soliman (3.4 percent);

Camarines Sur Gov. Lray Villafuerte (3.4 percent); Technical Education and Skills Development Authority director general Boboy Syjuco (3.3 percent); Speaker Prospero Nograles (3.2 percent); Bayan Muna Rep. Teddy Casiño (three percent); former Labor undersecretary Susan Ople (2.8 percent); detained Marine Col. Ariel Querubin (2.8 percent); Public Works Secretary Hermogenes Ebdane (2.7 percent); former agrarian reform secretary Horacio “Boy” Morales (2.2 percent); Finance Secretary Margarito Teves (2.2 percent); former education secretary Florencio Abad (1.8 percent);

Black and White Movement convenor Leah Navarro (1.7 percent); former Bukidnon Rep. Nereus Acosta (1.3 percent); Iloilo Rep. Rolex Suplico (1.3 percent); University of the East College of Law Dean Amado Valdez (1.1 percent); constitutionalist Fr. Joaquin Bernas (0.9 percent); Agusan del Sur Rep. Rodolfo Plaza (0.9 percent); Press Secretary Cerge Remonde (0.9 percent); former Akbayan Rep. Loretta Ann Rosales (0.8 percent); Ang Ladlad founder Danton Remoto (0.7 percent); Ang Kapatiran founder Reynaldo Pacheco (0.5 percent); and Naga City Mayor Jessie Rebredo (0.4 percent). (philstar.com)

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